Richmond Fed's Barkin sees inflation holding steady, Crypto Briefing reports

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In brief

  • Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin doesn't expect inflation to accelerate or fall soon, per Crypto Briefing.
  • Headline inflation was 3.7% in September, up from 3.4% in August, Crypto Briefing cited.
  • Crypto Briefing read the remarks as signaling no grounds for immediate easing, with inflation above 2%.
  • The report doesn't identify the speech, interview or date of Barkin's comments.

What Barkin said

Barkin's outlook, as Crypto Briefing described it, comes down to two points. He doesn't anticipate inflation accelerating in the near term. He also doesn't see it coming down from where it is now.

Flat, in other words.

The report sets those comments next to headline inflation of 3.7% year over year in September, up from 3.4% in August. Crypto Briefing cited both figures as recent data, so they're attributed to the outlet here rather than to an official release.

How the report reads the policy picture

So what does that mean for rates? The jump from Barkin's remarks to policy is Crypto Briefing's, not his. The outlet said the comments suggest the Federal Reserve may not see grounds for immediate policy easing, since inflation remains above the central bank's 2% target. Barkin isn't quoted saying that, and it isn't a stated Fed position (it's the outlet's interpretation of where his view points).

"Markets are closely monitoring upcoming economic data, particularly inflation metrics"

The report added that those metrics could influence the Fed's policy stance. It also said that shifts in inflation trends, or new statements from other Fed officials, could bring more clarity on the likelihood of rate hikes in 2026.

What comes next

Crypto Briefing called the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting pivotal for assessing how the Fed approaches managing inflation and economic growth. Until then, the report's read is that the inflation data and commentary from other Fed officials are what markets are watching. Barkin's own message, as relayed, didn't point in either direction: inflation's not climbing and it's not falling.