Cook Political Report shifts South Carolina, Mississippi Senate races; GOP still favored

Editorial illustration: Two gold balance scales stand on stone silhouettes of South Carolina and Mississippi. Red elephants sit lower than blue donkeys on both scales, with a greater difference on Mississippi’s scale.

In brief

  • Cook Political Report moved two Senate races into more competitive categories, per Crypto Briefing.
  • South Carolina's Senate race shifted from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican."
  • Mississippi's Senate race shifted from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican."
  • Republican candidates remain favored in both states, the report said.

Two ratings, same direction

Cook's update touched two Southern Senate contests at once, and both moved the same way. South Carolina's race slid from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican", according to the Crypto Briefing report, and Mississippi's went from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican."

Neither seat left the Republican column.

That's the part that's easy to lose in the headline. Crypto Briefing said the adjustments suggest Democratic candidates in both states may have a stronger chance than previously anticipated, though it noted Republican candidates are still favored. That read belongs to the outlet (it isn't a LeoDex News forecast), and it doesn't change the fact that Cook's labels in both races still carry a Republican tag.

The backdrop

According to Crypto Briefing, the rating changes came amid increased political activity in both states, including advertising campaigns in Mississippi and close polling in South Carolina. The report didn't attach figures to either, so we're not adding any here.

What to watch

Ratings shops like Cook revise their calls as races develop. For now, the update is narrow: two races, one direction, and Republicans still rated as favorites in each. Anyone tracking these seats (on prediction markets or anywhere else) should read Cook's moves as a change in competitiveness, not a change in who's favored.