Topic: #macroeconomics
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Global equity funds log three-week inflow high before late-week selloff
Global equity funds received $22.01 billion in net inflows during the week ending August 19, their largest weekly haul since late July. But rising bond yields and inflation concerns triggered a steep market decline by week's end, erasing early gains.
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US Q2 GDP grows 1.5% as jobless claims hold below expectations
US economy expanded at 1.5% annualized rate in Q2, down from 2.1% in Q1, while initial jobless claims came in at 197,000—below consensus. The mixed data leaves the Fed in a holding pattern on rate cuts.
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Prediction market traders raise July Fed rate hike odds to 27%
Traders on Polymarket and Myriad have pushed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting to 27%, up sharply in 24 hours, as rising oil prices and inflation concerns reshape market expectations.
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China's retail sales fall 0.6% in May as Q2 GDP slows to 4.3%
China's retail sales contracted 0.6% year-over-year in May 2026, marking the first decline since December 2022, while second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.3%, the weakest pace in over three years. The deceleration signals broad economic weakness with potential ripple effects across global risk assets.
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US jobless claims fall to 208K, complicating Fed rate-cut case
Initial jobless claims dropped to 208,000 from 216,000, with continuing claims easing to 1.8 million. The stronger labor market reading reduces the likelihood of near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts, adding pressure to risk assets including cryptocurrency.
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US deficit hits $1.37 trillion in fiscal 2026 amid spending surge
The US federal government collected $4.15 trillion but spent $5.52 trillion through nine months of fiscal 2026, creating a $1.37 trillion deficit. Revenue grew 4% year-over-year, yet spending outpaced it, pressuring Treasury yields and potentially weakening the dollar.
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Japan's Bond Yields Hit Multi-Decade Highs as BOJ Normalizes Policy
Japan's 2-year and 5-year bond yields have climbed to 1.41% and 1.915% respectively, signaling the end of the Bank of Japan's ultra-accommodative era. The shift could redirect Japanese capital flows and reshape global asset valuations.
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Bitcoin ETFs see $1.4B outflows as Treasury yields hit 2025 highs
US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $1.4 billion in net outflows during the week ending May 25, as Treasury yields climbed to their highest levels since January 2025, signaling diminished prospects for Federal Reserve rate cuts.