Topic: #fed-policy
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Dow hits record as tech earnings and Fed meeting converge
The Dow Jones hit record territory on July 27 while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq lagged, as investors brace for Big Tech earnings, a Federal Reserve decision, and a major crypto derivatives expiration all within one week.
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Bitcoin holds $65,000 as Fed decision looms over crypto's next move
Bitcoin held near $65,000 Monday despite a sharp selloff in AI stocks, while analysts say this week's Federal Reserve decision and inflation data will likely determine whether crypto breaks higher or revisits June lows.
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US Treasury faces refinancing crisis as Fed turns hawkish on rates
The US government faces a refinancing crisis as $39.5 trillion in total debt matures, with roughly 20% due in four months and the Fed signaling higher rates ahead to combat inflation.
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US July Empire State Factory Index hits 15.6, beats estimates
New York manufacturing printed at 15.6 in July, nearly double the consensus estimate of 8.8, signaling healthy regional expansion and complicating the Fed's rate-cut case.
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Bond traders bet on July Fed rate hike as Chair Warsh signals hawkish stance
Bond traders are placing record bets on a July Fed rate hike following hawkish signals from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at his June debut. CME futures show 30% odds for July, while the dot plot suggests nine of 18 policymakers expect at least one hike by year-end, potentially strengthening the dollar and pressuring risk assets including crypto.
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Dollar hits two-week lows as rate-hike bets fade, boosting Bitcoin and Ether
Weak June jobs data sent the dollar tumbling and rate-hike odds falling, triggering a sharp rally in Bitcoin and Ether as investors rotated back into risk assets.
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Bitcoin climbs above $61,000 as Fed signals inflation risks have eased
Bitcoin surged more than 4% to trade above $61,000, its strongest level in over a week, after Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signaled that inflation risks had come down. The move defied weakness in Asian equities, where South Korea's Kospi fell 7.9% on AI chip concerns.
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Dollar holds multi-month highs as US payrolls loom, yen slides to 1986 low
The US dollar is holding firm near 101.1-101.2 on the index while the yen has weakened to its weakest level since 1986. June payrolls data due around July 2 could influence Fed policy and drive further currency moves.
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Logistics costs hit four-year high, signaling persistent inflation risks for Fed
Logistics costs surged to their highest level since 2022, driven by Middle East tensions and shrinking transportation capacity. The spike complicates the Federal Reserve's inflation outlook and could delay rate cuts.
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US inflation accelerates to 3.8%, outpacing wage growth and delaying Fed rate cuts
US consumer price inflation jumped to 3.8% year-over-year in April 2026, the highest level since May 2023, while wage growth lagged at 3.6%, squeezing household budgets and pushing Federal Reserve rate cuts further into the future.